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[personal profile] tcpip
Three days ago, I completed another orbit around the sun. Nothing terribly remarkable about that, however, I do experience a wide range of joyful emotions of surprise, affirmation, and humbleness when close to four hundred people across all walks of life reach out to me in some way to send their best wishes. The actual day itself was spent, first and foremost, in the good company of Mel S., who, as tradition dictates, took me out to perhaps the only eating establishment in town that suits her dietary requirements. Then, with a delightful dash of synchronicity, I discovered that a friend, Jaimee, shares not only the heritage of The South Island of Aotearoa New Zealand, but also the same birthday. She had already organised an evening with friends, so I joined in and made it a dual gathering, with glamorous photo opportunities and some excellent conversations. I was particularly impressed and surprised by one youngster who shared an almost identical childhood and adolescence to mine, which is pretty unusual, to say the least - separated by decades and thousands of kilometres, there was a connection that only experience brings.

The celebrations are not complete, however. On Monday, for the second year, deflecting the wickedness that is Invasion Day, I'll be hosting a "linner" party. Unsurprisingly, this will be styled in a Latin American and Antarctic manner to follow up on the recent epic trip to those locations. Not much on the menu from the latter, of course (I don't fancy eating penguin, seal, whale), but the former does provide an enormous array of options, of which I am concentrating almost exclusively on interesting food and drinks from the locations I had the opportunity to visit. I should also mention, in this context, that I have been blessed in the days that I have returned to attend to other similar gatherings; Nitul D. recently finally hosted a housewarming gathering, which was full of some delightfully intelligent and educated individuals who were quite happy to discuss Incan civilisation, imperialism, and play chess. The second was Django's birthday party, which always attracts a likeable crowd from his wide range of interests (musicians and RPGers feature prominently). This weekend I will also be party to birthday drinks for Simon S at the Thornbury Bowls Club, which, as one of my oldest friends, also promises excellent company.

The marking of another year has meant in recent days that I've engaged in some planning of what I want to do this year and how it fits with my longer-term objectives in life. Recently, I mentioned that I have sufficient outstanding but interesting things to complete, so the bigger ticket items can be delayed for a while. Still, not being one to put things off too much, I have started a new unit in my PhD studies in global energy policy, which, whilst based at Euclid University, draws upon content from the University of London, where I started an economics degree (at LSE) several years ago. Further, I have plans to visit Guizhou, Sichuan, and Jiangsu provinces in China in two months' time, which also involves visits to a couple of "big science" installations, more to be revealed soon. Adding this to some more usual activities involving work, study, and social life is sufficient for the time being. But I do have something else quite remarkable on the back burner.
kiaa: (Default)
[personal profile] kiaa posting in [community profile] talkpolitics


In 1973, psychologist David Rosenhan tested whether psychiatrists could reliably distinguish sanity from mental illness. 8 mentally healthy volunteers presented at 12 US psychiatric hospitals, each reporting a single symptom—hearing vague voices. All were admitted and diagnosed, often with schizophrenia.

Once hospitalized, the volunteers behaved normally. Despite this, staff interpreted ordinary actions as symptoms of illness. Other patients quickly recognized the volunteers were not ill, but medical professionals did not. No one was released as sane, everyone who was discharged went out with a "schizophrenia, in remission" diagnosis.

When a hospital later claimed it could detect impostors, Rosenhan warned that fake patients would arrive. The hospital identified 41 supposed fakes. Rosenhan had sent none.

The study did not suggest patients fabricate illness, it demonstrated how institutional labels can override objective judgment and obscure the person beneath the diagnosis.

Food for thought.
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[personal profile] luzribeiro
Let's keep this simple.

First thing he wants: To secure the Arctic against Russian encroachment.
What is the sane way to get it: Work with Europe and Denmark on cooperation, strengthen NATO presence, and invest jointly in security and infrastructure in Greenland.
Knowing this is Trump, what is likelier to happen: He damages relations with Europe, bullies allies, and treats Greenland like a real estate deal. Even if US leverage in the Arctic increases short term, the long term damage to trust and alliances helps Russia more than it hurts it.

Next thing he wants...
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[personal profile] luzribeiro posting in [community profile] talkpolitics

Let's keep this simple.

First thing he wants: To secure the Arctic against Russian encroachment.
What is the sane way to get it: Work with Europe and Denmark on cooperation, strengthen NATO presence, and invest jointly in security and infrastructure in Greenland.
Knowing this is Trump, what is likelier to happen: He damages relations with Europe, bullies allies, and treats Greenland like a real estate deal. Even if US leverage in the Arctic increases short term, the long term damage to trust and alliances helps Russia more than it hurts it.

Next thing he wants: Greenland’s resources (rare earths, minerals, future energy, and shipping routes).
What is the sane way to get it: Long term investment, partnerships with Greenlandic authorities, respect for environmental limits, and shared economic benefits.
What is likelier to happen: Crude pressure on Denmark, zero regard for local consent, and a resource grab mentality that fuels backlash and pushes Greenland and Europe away from the US. Again, Russia (and China) wins long-term.

Next thing he wants: A Nobel Peace Prize.
Well, he's not getting it.
Why he will not get it: You do not win a peace prize by antagonizing allies, undermining institutions, and treating diplomacy as a personal transaction. Even real deals get discounted when they are paired with chaos and threats. And no, he hasn't stopped 8+ wars.

Anything else he wants:
Control of Arctic shipping lanes, keeping China out of the region, and a domestic political win he can sell as “strong leadership” (that last bit might sell to the dumb MAGA crowd, mind you). Greenland is useful to him less as a place, and more as a symbol of power and dominance.

And I won't even begin on the stupidity of the "one boat arrives 500 years ago" pseudo-argument. That's just beyond idiotic.

Radev the pioneer

19/01/2026 20:47
asthfghl: (Слушам и не вярвам на очите си!)
[personal profile] asthfghl
 
I know you don't care that much about this corner, and why would you, and yet... Here's a unique case:

Bulgaria's President Radev resigns amid speculation he will form his own party

Read more... )

Radev the pioneer

19/01/2026 20:46
asthfghl: (Слушам и не вярвам на очите си!)
[personal profile] asthfghl posting in [community profile] talkpolitics

I know you don't care that much about this corner, and why would you, and yet... Here's a unique case:

Bulgaria's President Radev resigns amid speculation he will form his own party

Bulgaria right now feels like it's in a never-ending political loop. After massive protests over corruption and a government forced to resign just before the holidays, party leaders have failed to form a stable cabinet, and we're staring down our 8th national election in just 5 years. Figures like Boyko Borisov and oligarch-linked powerbrokers such as Delyan Peevski still dominate headlines and public ire, and trust in institutions is at an all-time low.

Enter president Radev*, who has positioned himself against that morass. He's been vocal about fighting corruption, pushing back against the old party networks that seem to keep re-emerging. On foreign policy he's been a bit of a mixed bag, but he's not shy about opposing military aid to Ukraine, and he's repeatedly critiqued both internal corruption and external pressure from oligarchic interests. While he's shown some skepticism about things like the Euro (he insisted on a referendum before adopting it earlier this year, which was never granted), his broader rhetoric has been about democratization. However he's generally seen as mildly pro-Russia, and Euro-skeptic.

What's really extraordinary here, and this is point no one else has to wink at to understand, is that this is basically unprecedented anywhere: a sitting president resigning mid-term with the apparent goal of forming his own party and running in an early parliamentary election. No major comparative example comes close to this exact combination of moves (I've checked extensively). Leaders leave office to run for other positions sometimes, but not like this, not with this much direct political momentum and not when the presidency had been smack in the centre of national debates.

Looking forward, I think Bulgaria is at a tipping point right now. The (now former) president said it himself: this is the first point in recent history when Bulgarians have stopped wanting to just flee to greener pastures, now they prefer to stay and push back against the powers that be instead. So if Radev's new party manages to cause a major shake-up and break the old clientelistic game, it could finally give voters a real alternative and maybe force a stable, reform-oriented majority. On the other hand, the familiar networks could absorb or repel this challenge, dragging us back into fragmentation. Personally, as someone who wants a strong Bulgaria within Europe, anti-corruption reforms, a pro-EU, pro-Euro trajectory and clear support for Ukraine, I see this as a moment where either we could turn a corner or fritter this rare opportunity away. The next few months are going to be incredibly decisive.

* the president has the same surname as myself, LOL! I swear we're not related!

Memoro MMXXV

17/01/2026 23:53
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[personal profile] tcpip
Every year since 2008, I've taken the opportunity to write about my annual reflections and future plans. The plans really come to fruition as they are more motivational than realistic, but if I get more than half of what I seek to achieve done, that's invariably a good year. Usually, I manage these reflections in the last week of December or the first week of January, but of course, when you're gazing over Antarctica, the sublime beauty of nature gives reason to delay. But now I have left that grandeur and the lively cities of Latin America to return to the relative calmness of Melbourne with my work and study.

The past year wasn't nearly as busy as the previous, but there was still a great deal of activity and progression. I paid off my apartment in Southbank, which hosted four major themed parties, continuing proof that my apartment can hold more than a score of people. I travelled to the Northern Territory, New Zealand, China (twice), Chile, Lima, Argentina, Antarctica, and especially the South Atlantic. From these journeys, I can mark visiting The Great Wall, The Forbidden City, the Nanjing Memorial, Machu Picchu, and, of course, Antarctica as major locations. And I must mention that my health continued a turn for the better with almost 35kg being shed between June 2024 and June 2025 as I have revived a long-dormant athleticism.

In academic life, I completed three units in my doctorate studies at Euclid University, each with A-grade results (I'm a swot), along with two online courses from the University of Edinburgh (music theory) and the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile (Spanish), hosted a Murdoch University alumni event and, for what it's worth, was in the top 0.1% of users on Duolingo for the third year in succession, completing the Spanish language course. In other writings, there were eight articles for Rocknerd, six for Isocracy, and another 15 on other sites.

I gave two conference presentations in New Zealand, as well as brief presentations and panel participation in Australia and China, along with an extensive philosophy presentation on Daoism and Stoicism, which resulted in some permanent ink being etched into my skin. Unexpectedly, I also delivered a Christmas service. At work, I delivered 15 HPC training workshops, organising three researcher technical presentations, in addition to usual technical and managerial tasks. Plus, I've been running three non-profit incorporated associations. Through the ACFS, I hosted and organised at least four events, wrote a dozen articles, attended ten concerts, events, and received delegations. Perhaps one of the most important actions of the year, however, was fundraising for the Isla Bell Charitable Fund through the RPG Review Cooperative; over $15K, mostly through the sales of my personal collection.

Despite all this, there are a lot of things I didn't get done in 2025 that I initially planned to do. These remain on a "to-do" list and will make up the bulk of activity in the initial months of this year. I know I want to travel more, and I have already made plans for my next adventure. I certainly have to continue my current doctoral studies in climatology, economics, and international law, as it remains a great priority in my life. However, I will admit that beyond this, I have yet to build firm plans for the year. Perhaps over the next few weeks, this will coalesce into something more definite. However, as I expressed on the morning of the year, I do have a theme: Do what matters. Live deliberately. Act despite fears. Don't postpone. Memento mori.
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[personal profile] kiaa posting in [community profile] talkpolitics

In case you missed the headlines (or your car texted you the alert), German regulators have effectively forced Toyota's premium Lexus brand to turn off the remote pre-heating feature on hundreds of thousands of combustion-engine vehicles sold in Germany so you can no longer cozy up a frozen car at the tap of an app before you've even found your gloves. The official line is refreshingly undramatic: lawmakers consider unattended idling "avoidable pollution", so Toyota flipped a software switch to keep owners out of trouble, while all-electric and plug-in models still get their toasty interiors:
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/germany-forces-lexus-to-remotely-turn-off-car-warm-up-function-over-environmental-impact-report/3801107

Meanwhile, in the "send this to your cousin who thinks AI writes secret laws" corner of the internet, some outlets are gleefully proclaiming that Germany has declared remote start a crime against humanity and that "Big Brother" is yanking buttons right out of your dashboard:
https://autos.yahoo.com/policy-and-environment/articles/germany-forces-lexus-remotely-kill-173212814.html

That sort of sensational spin makes great water-cooler outrage but only serves to remind us that the real world often has perfectly rational explanations - even if it's colder waiting for your windshield to defrost.
dewline: Snoopy screaming in frustration (Augh)
[personal profile] dewline
All this horror and heroism in Minneapolis-St. Paul of late...in the cities that gave us Charles Schulz of all people.
asthfghl: (Къде съм аз къде сте вий!)
[personal profile] asthfghl
За сериала DARK сме говорили вече и колкото и да разказвам, все ще е малко. Но тук само ще обърна внимание на избора на актьори, които да се въплътят в различните версии на всеки от героите. Толкова перфектен подбор просто никъде не съм виждал в историята на телевизията. Да оставим настрана гениалния начин, по който сюжетът е вплетен в множество времеви линии и две различни паралелни реалности. Но дълбочината и старанието, вложени от сценаристите Баран Бо Одар и Янте Фризе при избора на изпълнители, са просто умопомрачителни и оставят всякаква конкуренция далеч назад. Ето само една малка част от целия ансамбъл:


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[personal profile] kiaa posting in [community profile] talkpolitics

Apparently, the internet has decided that on 12 August 2026 the Earth will politely switch off gravity for 7 seconds. Just long enough, we are told, for everything to float, panic, and then crash back down again. The story comes with all the usual extras: a secret government project, tens of billions of hidden dollars, and authorities who "know the truth" but refuse to tell us. Because of course they do:

LINK: The Economic Times

The funny part is not just the claim itself, but how confidently it's being presented. Gravity doesn't "pause" like a streaming video, and no serious physics allows for a planet-wide gravity outage on a timer. If it did, we wouldn't be debating it on social media - we'd be rewriting every physics textbook ever written. Still, the theory survives because it sounds dramatic, scientific enough to fool non-experts, and suspicious enough to fit the classic "they're hiding something" narrative. And of course there's ample numbers of idiots to feed the drama. Or just trolls who'd like some shits'n'giggles.

What actually is happening on that date is far less exciting but much more real: a total solar eclipse. A rare, beautiful, well-understood astronomical event that has been predicted for decades using boring things like math and observation. Somehow, "the Moon blocks the Sun for a few minutes" just doesn't compete online with "gravity collapses and the oceans try to escape".
The money angle also collapses under basic scrutiny. The idea that there's a secret $89 billion operation hidden inside a publicly scrutinized space budget is almost impressive in its optimism. Governments struggle to hide minor accounting mistakes, but sure - a civilization-altering gravity experiment slipped through unnoticed. Totally plausible.

In the end, stories like this say less about science and more about us. Conspiracy theories offer simple explanations, secret villains, and the comforting feeling that you're part of the few who "get it". Reality, meanwhile, is messier, slower, and much less cinematic. Gravity will still be there on 12 August 2026. The real question is why so many people would rather believe otherwise.
dewline: "Aux armes pour les poches, tout le monde! (design)
[personal profile] dewline
I'm shopping for a particular kind of font family. Looks close to Helvetica UCE, has multiple weights like Gravitica Compressed or Tungsten and has at least two character sets in addition to Latin. Greek and Cyrillic at least.

Can anyone here help me with this?
asthfghl: (You may kiss me now!)
[personal profile] asthfghl
When Russia invaded Ukraine, the promise was simple: repeat history, march west, and win like the Soviet Union once did. Years later, only one part of that promise came true: the marching. The quick, decisive victory never happened. What was supposed to last days has turned into a grinding war that has already lasted longer than the Soviet fight against Nazi Germany.

The uncomfortable truth is... )
asthfghl: (You may kiss me now!)
[personal profile] asthfghl posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
When Russia invaded Ukraine, the promise was simple: repeat history, march west, and win like the Soviet Union once did. Years later, only one part of that promise came true: the marching. The quick, decisive victory never happened. What was supposed to last days has turned into a grinding war that has already lasted longer than the Soviet fight against Nazi Germany.

The result is hard to ignore. After years of fighting, Russia controls only limited territory at an enormous cost in lives, resources, and internal stability. Entire regions inside Russia now feel the consequences directly, with power outages, infrastructure damage, and a growing sense that the war is not something happening "far away".

At the same time, the international position Moscow spent two decades building is unraveling. One by one, Russia's so-called "partners" are falling away, and the Kremlin appears unable (or unwilling) to do much about it. In the Middle East, a key ally collapsed, leaving Russia sidelined. In Latin America, another partner was neutralized by the US without any visible Russian response. Even Russian commercial interests are now being directly challenged, again without retaliation.

The uncomfortable truth is... )

DailyQuotes 2026

12/01/2026 19:44
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[personal profile] asthfghl posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
New year, new luck, yo! And of course, again for the purposes of the DailyQuotes list, here's the list of funny/silly/thoughtful/whatev's quotes for 2026. As usual, a line has a chance of finding its place here if it inspires others to either have a giggle, or go into deep contemplation (keep hoping, lol). A link to this list will also be displayed on the community sidebar:

"The NATO charter clearly says that any attack on a NATO member shall be treated, by all members, as an attack against all. So that means that, if we attack Greenland, we'll be obligated to go to war against ... ourselves! Gee, that's scary. You really don't want to go to war with the United States. They're insane!"
(edelsont)
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[personal profile] tcpip
After two days at sea from the Falklands, the next port was Montevideo, the capital of Uruguay. The first sight coming into port is a "ship's graveyard", which is apparently is being cleaned up. Some similar work is probably required in the nearby old city, Ciudad Vieja, founded by the Spanish in 1724. Whilst there are a number of glorious old buildings, some are in a state of dilapidation; I suspect there's a poor incentive structure at work. In a heroic effort over a day, we started at the famous Café Brasilero, the oldest cafe in Montevideo, and famously a haunt for the excellent Uruguayan writer Eduardo Galeano, now with a namesake coffee. Other nearby sites visited included Plaza de la Constitución, Museo Histórico Cabildo, Museo Torres García, Puerta de la Ciudadela, Mausoleo de José Gervasio Artigas, Palacio Salvo, Museo de la Casa de Gobierno, Museo Figari (for Pedro Figari and Juan Carlos Figari), and the Teatro Solis. Three of these were art galleries, and one gets the impression that Montevideo is rather proud of its artistic history, and justly so. The constructivism of Torres García and Juan Carlos Figari and the impressionism of Pedro Figari (Juan's father) were all excellent, and the García museum also featured the amusing fashion designs by Agatha Ruiz de la Prada.

The following day, after crossing the Rio de la Plata (arguably the widest river in the world), we returned again to Buenos Aires, where there was an opportunity to catch up with Cobina, an old activist friend of mine whom I haven't seen for many years, and visit the Xul Solar museum. A friend of the magical realist author, Jorge Luis Borges, Xul Solar was a painter and designer. His artworks combine both expressionist and surrealist styles. He invented a spiritual form of chess where moves can provide a horoscope (of his own making) and tell a story (in a language he invented). He also redesigned the piano to make it easier to play and learn. Probably one of the truest artists I have encountered. After that we all made our way to the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Cathedral, which has an astoundingly beautiful interior, but also houses the mausoleum of General José de San Martín, a leading figure in the Argentine War of Independence, the Chilean War of Independence, and then Peruvian War of Independence - he had a busy life!

All adventures must come to an end, however, and after a month of an extraordinary journey with travelling companion Kate, we boarded the flight from Buenos Aires to Santiago, then to Melbourne. We spent seventeen hours in the air overall, and a significant portion of January 9 was lost due to timezone changes. Looking back on it, so much was packed into the thirty days, but that is definitely how I like to travel. From Chile, to Peru, Argentina, Antarctica, the Falkland Islands, Uruguay, and then back to Argentina, it was a journey that witnessed grand cities (Santiago, Lima, Buenos Aires, Montevideo) with all their artistry and history, extraordinary pre-Columbian sites (e.g., Machu Picchu), breathtaking nature (Antarctica, Falkland Islands), and a cruise through the Drake Passage and the Argentine Sea. It is, without a doubt, one of the most extraordinary journeys I have been on. Whilst it is good to be back home in Melbourne town, I must confess that my taste for such journeys has been whetted rather than satiated. I am a long way from being "world weary".

About Hey!Cafe?

11/01/2026 12:31
dewline: (canadian media)
[personal profile] dewline
It's like Twitter-as-was, Bluesky-as-is, and the Mastodon-Fediverse network. Canadian-based - Penticton, BC, specifically - and Canadian-owned, though. If you're in Canada and want one more fallback option for short-form social media stuff, this might be useful to you at times.

https://hey.cafe/

Just putting it out here.
dewline: Community is Real! (community)
[personal profile] dewline
It was with a job-search-support service specializing in helping neurodivergent job-seekers. I plan to keep in touch with them through my upcoming contract, because said contract is going to end when March does. So, planning has to be for at least the medium term.

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